Excess death rates in high-vaccinated countries exceeded COVID death rates by 3.4 X in 2023

Big Data Analysis Paper Suggests COVID Vaccination Increases Excess Mortality

TrialSiteNews

which was reporting on the following preprint


Big Data Analysis Suggests COVID Vaccination Increases Excess Mortality Of Highly vaccinated North Temperate Zone and North Frigid Zone Countries

Preprint by Ken Sakura]

2 of the many charts

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📄 Download the PDF from Vitamin D Life


What is the conclusion of the study? Asked Perplexity AI

The conclusion of the study is:The massive vaccination campaign is proven to be a huge mistake and should be stopped immediately. According to the analysis, COVID vaccination increases excess mortality in post-vaccination periods and the effect keeps increasing over time. Furthermore, the excess mortality caused by COVID vaccination is higher than COVID itself. Specifically:

  • The average daily excess mortality caused by COVID vaccinations (0.226) is about 1.7 times that of COVID itself (0.132) among the 29 highly vaccinated countries studied.

  • The most current daily excess mortality caused by vaccinations (0.449) is about 3.4 times that of COVID deaths.

  • The increasing trend of excess mortality caused by vaccinations doesn't seem to be ending, as new vaccines are still being administered gradually.

The study concludes that although the COVID pandemic will eventually end, the pandemic level excess mortality rate will be artificially perpetuated and increased in amount due to the negative effects of COVID vaccinations. This is considered an unacceptable failure, and the authors state the massive vaccination campaign should be terminated immediately.


What are possible errors in their analysis - Asked Perplexity AI May 2024

The analysis presented in the paper has several potential errors and questionable assumptions:

  1. Selection bias in country data 
    • Only including data from 29 highly vaccinated countries in the northern hemisphere introduces selection bias. The effects may not generalize to other regions or vaccination levels.
    • Excluding countries with low vaccination rates means the analysis cannot properly compare vaccinated vs. unvaccinated populations.
  2. Assumptions about excess mortality causes 
    • The paper assumes excess mortality not explained by COVID deaths must be caused by vaccine side effects, without considering other potential factors like disruptions to healthcare systems, deaths from other diseases, etc.
    • It dismisses the possibility of long-term effects from COVID infections contributing to excess mortality based solely on the time period variable coefficients.
  3. Normalization of COVID deaths and excess mortality 
    • Normalizing COVID deaths and excess mortality rates to  within each country may introduce distortions, as the maximum values can be impacted by random variation.
    • This normalization assumes COVID deaths and excess mortality must peak at the same time in each country, which may not be valid.
  4. Interpretation of regression coefficients 
    • The increasing trend in vaccination period coefficients is interpreted as increasing vaccine side effects, but could alternatively reflect increasing healthcare disruptions or other time-varying factors in highly vaccinated countries.
    • The negative coefficients for some time periods are interpreted as mortality displacement, but could have other explanations like lags in reporting deaths.
  5. Lack of control groups 
    • Without including unvaccinated populations as controls, it is difficult to conclusively attribute excess mortality to vaccines rather than other factors correlated with high vaccination rates.
  6. Oversimplified vaccine assumptions
    • Assuming all vaccine types/doses have the same potential side effects is an oversimplification that could impact the results.
  7. Lack of validation
    • The analysis does not appear to be validated on held-out data or compared to other models, making it difficult to assess predictive performance.

In summary, while the analysis attempts to account for some confounding factors, there are many assumptions and potential biases that undermine the strong conclusions drawn about vaccines causing excess mortality. Independent validation and analysis of more comprehensive data would be needed to substantiate such claims. 

Click here for references etc


Vitamin D Life - Excess deaths - 5 possible reasons - many studies

starts with the following chart

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Table of Contents as of May 2024

Possible reasons for increase in excess deaths (beyond COVID)

Vitamin D Life - Excess death rates in high-vaccinated countries exceeded COVID death rates by 3.4 X in 2023 - May 2024

Vitamin D Life - COVID infection (without hospitalization) – 1.7X more likely to die in 6 months if low Vitamin D – March 2024

Chart of excess deaths vs % vaccination of German states - Feb 2024

Excess mortality in England post Covid-19 pandemic: implications for secondary prevention - Lancet Jan 2024

Big increase in US who Died "Suddenly or Unexpectedly" in 2021 and 2022

3X increase in unspecified causes of Death (Canada 2019-2022) - Dec 2023

Too many Dead - 470 page book, Australia Dec 2023

17 million Excess deaths after COVID vaccination - Sept 2023

Excess deaths being noticed by Life Insurance Companies - USA Today Aug 2023

Chart of Excess Deaths in England and Wales - July 2023

Chart of global excess deaths by the Economist - May 2023

Hospital utilization Australia (NSW) 1415 Vaccinated, 0 unvaccinated - Dec 2022

Chart of Excess deaths in Germany 2020-2022

56,285 excess deaths in England and Wales in past year - May 2023

Excess deaths may be due to down-regulation of immune systm by repeated Vaccinations - March 2023

Study documented the correlation between % vaccinated and excess deaths - March 2023

19% Excess mortality in Europe: Dec, 2022

Vitamin D Life - Excess Deaths in Australia jumped up in 2022– preprint Feb 2023

Seeing Is Believing: What the Data Reveal About Deaths Following COVID Vaccine Rollouts Around the World 1/9/23

34% Excess deaths in Wales - 2nd week of Jan 2023

29% Excess Deaths in Scotland - Jan 2023

Chart of excess deaths and vaccination in the Netherlands - for 2022

CDC reported 349,000 excess US deaths in the first 3 quarters of 2022

Excess Deaths - 11 videos by Dr. Campbell

Vaccinated died at a higher rate than unvaccinated (in UK) - Sept 27, 2023

Vaccination rates associated with high excess death rates - Sept 8, 2023

(US) Life insurers confirm excess young deaths - Aug 17, 2023

Excess deaths persist - Aug 11, 2023

UK Excess deaths 22% above average (Charts for age and health problem) - May 12, 2023

interview of Dr. Campbell: not on YouTube, so he expresed his concerns: including Vitamin D - Feb 11, 2023

Dr. Campbell again on excess deaths (in countries with excess vaccionation or excess COVID) - Feb 9, 2023

Excess deaths, MP calls for urgent and thorough investigation - Feb 5, 2023

European excess deaths, official data - Campbell Jan 23, 2023

Excess deaths in Australia - Campbell Video Oct 12, 2022

Dr. Campbell video on UK Excess Deaths July 6. 2022


Excess Mortality and COVID-19: What is causing it? - Medcram Video - Oct 4, 2022

"Cause Unknown": The Epidemic of Sudden Deaths in 2021 & 2022 - Book Dec 2022

Excess deaths of young adults 3rd Quarter 2021 (actuary table)

Top cause of death in Alberta, Canada in 2021 was unknown

Regional Excess Deaths strongly associated with COVID vaccination rate (UK) – Sept 2022

Chart of Excess and COVID deaths in UK (to Aug 2022)

Chart of Excess and COVID deaths in UK (June and July 2022)

Chart of Excess and COVID deaths Globally as of Jan 2022

Chart of more excess deaths if more vaccination (high income countries) thru Sept 2021

Excess deaths India 2021

Long list of possible reasons for excess deaths

Tracking 15,000,000 covid-19 excess deaths across countries (excellent graphs) Economist - May 2022

Lancet - March and Sept 2022

Vitamin D Life - COVID cases and excess deaths exploding in parts of Asia - April 2022

Big increase in deaths reported by insurance companies and funeral homes - March 2022

How a Zambian morgue is exposing the real covid toll in Africa - April 2022

Sustained high prevalence of COVID-19 deaths from a systematic post-mortem study in Lusaka, Zambia: one year later - March 2022

Excess mortality during the Coronavirus pandemic - constantly updated

14+ Vitamin D Life Virus pages have "Excess Deaths" in the title

See also 2.3X increase in sudden deaths in Germany after start of vaccinations - Dec 2022

Vitamin D Life - 19 studies are on both of the categories Virus and Cardiovascular

Vitamin D Life COVID infections and vaccinations decrease Vitamin D – many studies

11+ Vitamin D Life pages have CAMPBELL in the title

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